Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 40%, Obama 28%

March 15, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Two-in-five Democratic Party supporters in the United States would prefer to have Hillary Rodham Clinton as their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Hart/Newhouse released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 40 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 28 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 15 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Mar. 10, Kucinich called for the end of the coalition effort in Iraq, saying, "We need to step back at this moment and reclaim our humanity. We're losing that today. Where's our morality here? What are they doing in our name? (...) Once Congress stops funding the war, the president has to notify the international community that the troops will be removed, that the bases are going to be closed and the occupation is going to be over."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote?

Mar. 2007

Dec. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

40%

37%

Barack Obama

28%

18%

John Edwards

15%

14%

Bill Richardson

5%

2%

Joe Biden

2%

4%

Wesley Clark

1%

n.a.

Dennis Kucinich

1%

n.a.

Chris Dodd

1%

n.a.

Other

1%

3%

None

1%

3%

Not sure

5%

5%

John Kerry

n.a.

11%

Evan Bayh

n.a.

3%

Source: Hart/Newhouse / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with Democratic Party supporters among 1,007 American adults, conducted from Mar. 2 to Mar. 5, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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