Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 40%, Obama 21%

February 17, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Public support for a presidential bid by Hillary Rodham Clinton increased markedly among Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 40 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary, up 11 points since January.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 14 per cent, former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent.

Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, retired general Wesley Clark, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, and Delaware senator Joe Biden.

On Feb. 14, Edwards said he would pull out at least a third of American soldiers form Iraq as soon as possible if he were elected, and urged lawmakers to challenge the presence of troops in Iraq, adding, "At this point, the escalation is under way, so blocking it is not enough. So what I'm doing today is calling on Congress to take the next step, which is to cap funding."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Support for potential 2008 Democratic presidential nominees, among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who are registered to vote.

 

Feb. 2007

Jan. 2007

Dec. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

40%

29%

33%

Barack Obama

21%

18%

20%

Al Gore

14%

11%

12%

John Edwards

13%

13%

8%

Bill Richardson

4%

3%

2%

Wesley Clark

1%

2%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Joe Biden

1%

5%

3%

Al Sharpton

--

1%

--

Tom Vilsack

--

--

1%

John Kerry

n.a.

8%

6%

Other

--

2%

2%

None

1%

2%

3%

No opinion

3%

4%

5%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 495 Democrats or Democratic leaners, conducted from Feb. 9 to Feb. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

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