Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 38%, Obama 21%

March 18, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the favourite presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll Ipsos-Public Affairs released by the Associated Press. 38 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 14 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 10 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson and Delaware senator Joe Biden.

On Mar. 15, Rodham Clinton said she would keep a small military presence in Iraq if she were to become president, adding, "We would not be doing patrols. We would not be kicking in doors. We would not be trying to insert ourselves in the middle between the various Shiite and Sunni factions. I do not think that's a smart or achievable mission for American forces."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners only)

Hillary Rodham Clinton

38%

Barack Obama

21%

Al Gore

14%

John Edwards

10%

Bill Richardson

4%

Joe Biden

1%

Chris Dodd

--

Other

--

None

5%

Not sure

7%

Source: Ipsos-Public Affairs / Associated Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 American adults, conducted from Mar. 5 to Mar. 7, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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