Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 37%, Obama 22%

March 17, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Many Democratic Party supporters in the United States would like Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 37 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 22 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 14 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich.

On Mar. 14, reverend Al Sharpton discussed the early stages of the race, saying, "Edwards is talking about poverty. I think that's good. Some things that health care Mrs. Clinton is talking about is good. Something Obama is talking about is good. (...) I hope if any of them are, I hope they win. But, again, every part of that broad constituency has concerns that all ought to be heard."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.

Mar. 2007

Jan. 2007

Nov. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

37%

34%

33%

Barack Obama

22%

18%

15%

Al Gore

14%

10%

14%

John Edwards

12%

15%

14%

Bill Richardson

3%

2%

3%

Joseph Biden

1%

3%

3%

Wesley Clark

1%

2%

4%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

2%

--

Chris Dodd

--

1%

--

Al Sharpton

--

1%

--

Tom Vilsack

--

1%

1%

No opinion

9%

7%

4%

John Kerry

n.a.

5%

7%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 447 registered Democrats, conducted from Mar. 9 to Mar. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

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