Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 36%, Obama 24%

March 03, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the top presidential nominee for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 36 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 24 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 14 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson and Delaware senator Joe Biden.

Yesterday, Obama criticized the current government's foreign policy, saying, "A consequence of the administration's failed strategy in Iraq has been to strengthen Iran's strategic position; reduce U.S. credibility and influence in the region; and place Israel and other nations friendly to the United States in greater peril."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

Feb. 2007

Jan. 2007

Nov. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

36%

41%

39%

Barack Obama

24%

17%

17%

Al Gore

14%

10%

10%

John Edwards

12%

11%

12%

Bill Richardson

3%

1%

2%

Joe Biden

1%

3%

2%

Wesley Clark

*

1%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

*

1%

n.a.

Tom Vilsack

*

*

1%

Chris Dodd

*

*

*

Mike Gravel

*

*

n.a.

John Kerry

n.a.

8%

7%

Other

*

1%

*

None of these

3%

2%

2%

Would not vote

1%

*

1%

No opinion

3%

3%

4%

Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,082 American adults, conducted from Feb. 22 to Feb. 25, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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