Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 34%, Obama 18%

January 27, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the top prospective presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 34 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 18 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 15 per cent, and U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 10 per cent.

Support is lower for Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry, Delaware senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd, reverend Al Sharpton, and former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.

On Jan. 24, Sharpton said he has not decided whether to launch a bid for the White House in 2008, saying, "I'm not making any endorsements today."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.

Jan. 2007

Nov. 2006

Oct. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

34%

33%

28%

Barack Obama

18%

15%

17%

John Edwards

15%

14%

13%

Al Gore

10%

14%

13%

John Kerry

5%

7%

12%

Joseph Biden

3%

3%

2%

Wesley Clark

2%

4%

--

Dennis Kucinich

2%

--

--

Bill Richardson

2%

3%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

--

Al Sharpton

1%

--

--

Tom Vilsack

1%

1%

1%

No opinion

7%

4%

8%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 467 Democratic American adults, conducted from Jan. 19 to Jan. 21, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

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