Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 28%, Obama 23%

February 20, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Democratic Party backers in the United States want Hillary Rodham Clinton as their presidential nominee in 2008, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 28 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary, down six points.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent—up five points—followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent, and former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with eight per cent.

On Feb. 16 in South Carolina, Obama discussed his chances, saying, "When folks were saying we are going to march for our freedoms, somebody said you can't do that. When somebody said let's sit at the lunch counter, we can't do that. When somebody says a woman belongs in the kitchen—and not in the work force, they said we can't do that. I don't believe in this can't do, won't do, won't even try style of leadership."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Democratic Presidential Primary Contenders

Feb. 8

Feb. 3

Jan. 25

Hillary Rodham Clinton

28%

34%

33%

Barack Obama

23%

18%

19%

John Edwards

13%

10%

10%

Al Gore

8%

10%

8%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 435 likely Democratic voters, conducted from Feb. 5 to Feb. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

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