Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Debates Lead To Closer Race In Canada

June 18, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 18, 2004 - The opposition Conservative party holds a slim lead in Canada's federal election, according to a poll by Léger Marketing released by Sun Media. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories, while 34 per cent would support the ruling Liberal party.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 16 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 12 per cent.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons on Jun. 28. The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

Earlier this week, four party leaders—Martin, Conservative Stephen Harper, the NDP's Jack Layton and the Bloc's Giles Duceppe—met in two televised debates. Support for the Conservatives grew by five per cent since the public meetings were held, while the Liberals gained one per cent.

Polling Data

If federal elections were held today, which political party would you vote for? Even if you have not yet made up your mind, which political party would you most likely to vote for?

 

Post-debate

Pre-debate

Conservative

35%

30%

Liberal

34%

33%

New Democratic Party

16%

19%

Bloc Québécois

12%

12%

Source: Léger Marketing / Sun Media
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 895 adult Canadians, conducted on Jun. 15 and Jun. 16, 2004. Margin of error is 3.3 per cent.

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