Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Corzine Leads, More Undecided in New Jersey

September 23, 2005

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Democratic candidate Jon Corzine remains the top contender in New Jersey's gubernatorial campaign, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 47 per cent of respondents in the Garden State would vote for the current United States senator in this year's ballot, while 36 per cent would support Republican businessman Douglas Forrester.

Three per cent of respondents would vote for another candidate, and 15 per cent remain undecided. Support for the Democrat dropped by three points since August, while backing for the Republican fell by four points. The election is scheduled for Nov. 8. 52 per cent of respondents say they would have preferred different contenders on the ballot, while 35 per cent are satisfied with the current candidates.

Last August, elected governor James McGreevey—a Democrat—announced his resignation after declaring himself "a gay American" and acknowledging a consensual affair with a man. Senate president Richard J. Codey took over as New Jersey's acting governor until January 2006.

On Sept. 20, Corzine and Forrester took part in the first televised debate of the campaign. Both candidates expressed their opposition to same-sex marriage, but neither was willing to support a constitutional amendment to effectively ban it. New Jersey's Supreme Court is expected to rule next year on a legal challenge launched by same-sex couples.

The last Republican to win a gubernatorial ballot in the Garden State was Christie Whitman in 1994. Since 1947, New Jersey has had seven Republican and seven Democratic heads of government.

Polling Data

If the election for governor was held today, would you support Jon Corzine, the Democrat or Doug Forrester, the Republican?

 

Sept. 2005

Aug. 2005

Jul. 2005

Jon Corzine (D)

47%

50%

48%

Douglas Forrester (R)

36%

40%

40%

Other

2%

3%

5%

Undecided

15%

7%

7%

Are you satisfied with the current candidates running for Governor, or would you prefer to see different candidates on the ballot?

 

Sept. 2005

Aug. 2005

Satisfied

35%

44%

Prefer different candidates

52%

46%

Undecided

13%

10%

Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 800 likely New Jersey voters, conducted from Sept. 12 to Sept. 14, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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