Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Conservatives Drop, Liberals Gain in Canada

April 28, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Fewer Canadians are voicing support for the governing Conservative party, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies released by the Toronto Star. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories in the next election to the House of Commons, down three points since late March.

The Liberal party is second with 30 per cent—up four points in a month—followed by the New Democratic Party (NDP) with 20 per cent, the Bloc Québécois with eight per cent, and the Green party with eight per cent.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January 2006. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party. In December 2006, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberals.

On Apr. 24 in Montreal, Harper criticized Bloc Québécois leader Giles Duceppe—who said his party needs to win at least 38 of Quebec’s House of Commons seats in the next federal election—saying, "He now has 49, so he’s promising his troops not to lose more than 11 seats. Some program. If he’s ready to lose 11 seats, we’re ready to take them."

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you be most likely to support in your constituency?

 

Apr. 2008

Mar. 28

Mar. 2

Feb. 2008

Conservative

33%

36%

34%

34%

Liberal

30%

26%

28%

31%

New Democratic Party

20%

18%

18%

17%

Bloc Québécois

8%

9%

10%

9%

Green

8%

9%

9%

8%

Other

1%

1%

1%

1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies / Toronto Star
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,007 Canadian adults, conducted on Apr. 22 and Apr. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 2.0 per cent.

 


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