Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Connecticut Primary: McCain Yes, Obama Maybe

February 05, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Constitution State place John McCain as the Republican Party frontrunner in today’s United States presidential primary.

In the three polls of Republican Party voters, the Arizona senator is in first place with the backing of more than two-in-five respondents, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with roughly 30 per cent. Support is lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Among Democratic Party voters, Illinois senator Barack Obama was ahead of New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in the two SurveyUSA polls. However, Obama only held a two-point lead over Rodham Clinton in the final study, and is behind Rodham Clinton in the study by American Research Group.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Connecticut Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Connecticut

 

Huckabee

McCain

Paul

Romney

(3) Survey USA

7%

52%

6%

30%

(2) American Research Group

12%

43%

1%

25%

(1) SurveyUSA

6%

53%

5%

31%

(3) SurveyUSA (333 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 5.5 MofE)
(2) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (426 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.8 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Connecticut

 

Clinton

Obama

(3) SurveyUSA

46%

48%

(2) American Research Group

48%

35%

(1) SurveyUSA

44%

48%

(3) SurveyUSA (635 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (679 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 3.8 MofE)

 

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