Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
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- Israel Election 2009
- Kevin Rudd
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Clinton Down, Obama Rises in 2008 Democratic Race
- Hillary Rodham Clinton is still the most popular prospective Democratic Party presidential candidate in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 28 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a primary election, down nine points in a month.
Illinois senator Barack Obama is second on the list with 17 per cent, followed by former vice-president Al Gore and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent each, and Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with 12 per cent.
Support is lower for Indiana senator Evan Bayh, Delaware senator Joseph Biden, Wisconsin senator Russ Feingold, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, and Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.
Rodham Clinton—a former first lady—was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating Republican Rick Lazio by 12 percentage points. She ruled out a presidential bid in 2004. Obama was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2004, defeating Republican Alan Keyes with 70 per cent of the vote.
On Nov. 3, Edwards campaigned in support of Democratic candidates in Pennsylvania, saying, "If you want to know what is at stake in this election, literally, you have to do no more than turn your television on. The chaos in the world today is not an accident. Bush and his gang has proven power is not enough to lead. The United States of America is better than this. The world needs to see what our character is."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.
Oct. 2006 | Sept. 2006 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 28% | 37% |
Barack Obama | 17% | n.a. |
Al Gore | 13% | 20% |
John Edwards | 13% | 11% |
John Kerry | 12% | 11% |
Evan Bayh | 2% | 2% |
Joseph Biden | 2% | 2% |
Russ Feingold | 2% | 3% |
Bill Richardson | 2% | 3% |
Tom Vilsack | 1% | 1% |
No opinion | 8% | 8% |
Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 472 Democratic American adults, conducted from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, 2006. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
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