Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

CDU Stable, Free Democrats Drop in Germany

August 06, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Support for the Christian-Democratic Union (CSU) and the Bavarian Christian-Social Party (CSU) remains steady in Germany, according to a poll by Infratest-Dimap. 42 per cent of respondents would vote for the alliance in next month's election to the Federal Diet.

The governing Social Democratic Party (SPD) of chancellor Gerhard Schroeder is second with 29 per cent, followed by the Left Party (Linke)—which merges the Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) and the Electoral Alternative for Labour and Social Justice (WASG)—with 11 per cent, the Green Party (Grune) with eight per cent, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) with six per cent.

On Jul. 1, Schroeder deliberately lost a no-confidence motion in the Federal Diet after a 151-296 vote, with 148 abstentions. A federal election has been scheduled for Sept. 18. The CDU has named Angela Merkel as its chancellor candidate. Germany has never had a female head of government.

The FDP is considered as the most likely coalition partner for the CDU-CSU alliance. Support for the combined political organizations is at 48 per cent, exactly the same as the prospective total for the SPD, Grune and Linke.

Yesterday, CDU lawmaker Christian Schmidt said a post-election deal with the SPD would be negative, declaring, "A grand coalition would be one of the worst outcomes for our country, because there would be no possibility to change what has to be changed, to get a ticket for reform."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next federal election?

 

Aug. 3

Jul. 27

Jul. 21

Christian-Democratic Union
Bavarian Christian-Social (CDU-CSU)

42%

42%

42%

Social Democratic Party (SPD)

29%

28%

27%

Left Party (Linke)

11%

12%

12%

Green Party (Grune)

8%

8%

9%

Free Democratic Party (FDP)

6%

7%

7%

Source: Infratest-Dimap
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,620 German voters, conducted from Aug. 1 to Aug. 3, 2005. Margin of error is 2.5 per cent.

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