Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

CDU Down, Social Democrats Up in Germany

August 15, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Support for the Christian-Democratic Union (CSU) and the Bavarian Christian-Social Party (CSU) fell in Germany, according to a poll by FG Wahlen released by ZDF. 42 per cent of respondents would support the alliance in next month's election to the Federal Diet, down two points since June.

The governing Social Democratic Party (SPD) of chancellor Gerhard Schroeder is second with 29 per cent, followed by the Left Party (Linke)—which merges the Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) and the Electoral Alternative for Labour and Social Justice (WASG)—with nine per cent, the Green Party (Grune) also with nine per cent, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) with eight per cent.

On Jul. 1, Schroeder deliberately lost a no-confidence motion in the Federal Diet after a 151-296 vote, with 148 abstentions. A federal election has been scheduled for Sept. 18. The CDU has named Angela Merkel as its chancellor candidate. Germany has never had a female head of government.

The FDP is considered as the most likely coalition partner for the CDU-CSU alliance. Support for the combined political organizations is at 50 per cent, while the prospective total for the SPD, Grune and Linke is 47 per cent.

On Aug. 10, Merkel promoted her party's economic policies, saying, "Now the point is to get out of this misery, we need growth, economical growth is the way we need to grow as we are last in Europe. And that is not right. That is not adequate for Germany." The Christian Democrats have proposed raising the value added tax from 16 to 18 per cent.

Polling Data

What party would you support in Germany's next federal election?

 

Aug. 11

Jun. 23

Christian-Democratic Union
Bavarian Christian-Social (CDU-CSU)

42%

44%

Social Democratic Party (SPD)

29%

27%

Left Party (Linke)

9%

5%

Green Party (Grune)

9%

9%

Free Democratic Party (FDP)

8%

7%

Source: FG Wahlen / ZDF
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,227 German adults, conducted from Aug. 9 to Aug. 11, 2005. Margin of error is 2.7 per cent.

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