Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Canadians Consider Government Possibilities

June 29, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 29, 2004 - In the event of a close race in the Canadian federal election, many voters would prefer to have a government encompassing two left-leaning parties, according to a poll by Ipsos-Reid released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 56 per cent of respondents say a Liberal-led minority government supported by the New Democratic Party (NDP) would be acceptable.

Canadian voters renewed the House of Commons yesterday. Early results indicate that no party will reach the 155 seats required to form a majority government.

The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin led the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

Respondents are almost equally split on the option of a Conservative-led minority government supported by either the Liberals or the NDP. Tory leader Stephen Harper was looking to become the first non-Liberal to head the Canadian government since Kim Campbell in 1993.

Voters flatly reject the possibility of an alliance including either the Liberals or Conservatives and the Bloc Québécois. More than 66 per cent of respondents believe the possibility would be undesirable.

Polling Data

If Canada has a minority government after the next election, would the following be acceptable or unacceptable to you:

 

Acceptable

Unacceptable

A Liberal-led minority government
supported by the NDP

56%

42%

A Liberal-led minority government
supported by the Conservatives

52%

45%

A Conservative-led minority government
supported by the Liberals

48%

49%

A Conservative-led minority government
supported by the NDP

47%

50%

A Liberal-led minority government
supported by the Bloc Québécois

31%

66%

A Conservative-led minority government
supported by the Bloc Québécois

28%

70%

Source: Ipsos-Reid / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 2,000 Canadian adults, conducted from Jun. 21 to Jun. 23, 2004. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.

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