Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Canadian Election Remains Tight

June 20, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 20, 2004 - The Liberal party is holding on to a slim lead in the Canadian federal election, according to a poll by COMPAS released by CanWest News Service. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for the ruling Liberals, while 34 per cent would support the opposition Conservative party.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 17 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 11 per cent and the Green party with three per cent.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons on Jun. 28. The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

The last three days of the campaign have been dominated by a controversy over child pornography after an e-mail news release by the Conservatives—which was then re-worded—seemed to suggest that Martin supported child pornography. Tory leader Stephen Harper said Martin's record on the issue speaks of "failure to develop effective legislation that combats child pornography, and failure to pass even his own bills on the matter."

Martin said Harper's comments "were clearly out of line. It's unacceptable that he doesn't understand how harmful they are."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the upcoming federal election?

Liberal

35%

Conservative

34%

New Democratic Party

17%

Bloc Québécois

11%

Source: COMPAS / CanWest News Service
Methodology: Interviews to 600 Canadian voters, conducted on Jun. 16, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

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