Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Cameron Still Leads Brown in Britain

May 29, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Britain's opposition leader remains a popular figure, according to a poll by ICM Research published in The Guardian. 38 per cent of respondents would vote for the David Cameron-led Conservative party in the next general election.

Conversely, 30 per cent of respondents would support the Labour party under current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown, 20 per cent would support the Liberal Democrats under Menzies Campbell, and 12 per cent would back another party.

Labour leader Tony Blair has served as Britain's prime minister since May 1997, winning majority mandates in the 1997, 2001 and 2005 elections to the House of Commons. On May 10, Blair announced his retirement—effective Jun. 27. Brown is expected to become Labour's new leader on Jun. 24, and will automatically become prime minister after Blair officially steps down.

Since December 2005, Cameron has been the leader of the Conservative party. In March 2006, the Liberal Democrats chose foreign affairs spokesman Campbell as their new leader.

On May 26, Brown discussed Iran's nuclear program, saying, "We want a peaceful settlement to the Iran issue. What we don't want is a situation where we move from North Korea to Iran to African countries, where we have no control. I think multilateral pressure is the right thing to do."

The next election to the House of Commons must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion.

Polling Data

If at the next election the Conservatives are led by David Cameron, Gordon Brown leads Labour and Menzies Campbell leads the Liberal Democrats, how would you vote; Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or for another party?

May 2007

Apr. 2007

Mar. 2007

Conservative

38%

40%

43%

Labour

30%

28%

28%

Liberal Democrat

20%

20%

18%

Other

12%

12%

11%

Source: ICM Research / The Guardian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,003 British adults, conducted from May 18 to May 20, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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