(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many voters in Britain would support the Conservative party in the next election to the House of Commons, according to a poll by YouGov released by Sky News. 38 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories under new leader David Cameron, while 33 per cent would back the governing Labour party with current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown as leader.

The Liberal Democrats of Charles Kennedy are third with 18 per cent, while 10 per cent of respondents would support other parties.

On Dec. 6, the Conservatives announced that Cameron would be their new leader. The 39-year-old former education spokesman becomes the fourth person to command the opposition organization in the past eight years.

In May, British voters renewed the lower house of Parliament. The governing Labour party secured 35.2 per cent of the vote and 356 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 32.2 per cent and 197 legislators, and the Liberal Democrats with 22 per cent and 62 lawmakers. Current Labour leader and prime minister Tony Blair has vowed to retire at the end of his current mandate.

The next election to the House of Commons must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion. 43 per cent of respondents believe it is certain or likely that Brown would be the prime minister after the next election, while 19 per cent feel the same way about Cameron.

Polling Data

The next general election will probably not be held until 2009 or 2010. Suppose the leaders of the main parties at that time are Gordon Brown (Labour), David Cameron (Conservative) and Charles Kennedy (Liberal democrat). How do you think you would vote at that election?

Leaving aside your personal preferences, who do you think is more likely to be prime minister after the next general election? David Cameron or Gordon Brown?

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