Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Cameron Beats Blair, But Not Brown, in Britain

November 25, 2005

Credit:UN/DPI Photo

Gordon Brown

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - British Conservative party member David Cameron would defeat the current prime minister in a head-to-head contest, according to a poll by YouGov released by Sky News. 41 per cent of respondents would vote for Cameron, while 38 per cent would support current Labour leader Tony Blair.

In a contest against current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown, Cameron trails the Labour party member by five points.

In May, British voters renewed the lower house of Parliament. The governing Labour party secured 35.2 per cent of the vote and 356 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 32.2 per cent and 197 legislators, and the Liberal Democrats with 22 per cent and 62 lawmakers. Following the election, Tory leader Michael Howard vowed to stand down.

The process to select the new Conservative leader began last month. After two elimination ballots open only to Conservative MPs, Cameron and David Davis are now the only candidates in contention. The new leader will be chosen in a postal ballot open to the 300,000 Conservative members in Britain. The results will be announced on Dec. 6.

On Nov. 24, Cameron and Davis participated in a televised debate. Davis said he would review the recently implemented 24-hour drinking legislation. Cameron said changes to the law could alienate younger voters.

In October 2004, Blair announced that he would retire at the end of his third term. The next election to the House of Commons must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion.

Polling Data

Suppose you vote directly for the primer minister and you had to choose between David Cameron or Tony Blair, who would you choose?

David Cameron

41%

Tony Blair

38%

Don't know

20%

Suppose you vote directly for the primer minister and you had to choose between David Cameron or Gordon Brown, who would you choose?

Gordon Brown

43%

David Cameron

38%

Don't know

19%

Source: YouGov / Sky News
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,705 British adults, conducted on Nov. 22 and Nov. 23, 2005. No margin of error was provided.

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