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(CPOD) Apr. 26, 2003 - George W. Bush would carry the state of New York in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. At least 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the current president in head-to-head contests against three prospective Democratic candidates.

Bush holds a 12 per cent lead over Connecticut senator Joe Lieberman and Massachusetts senator John Kerry, and an 11 per cent lead over Missouri congressman Dick Gephardt.

The perceived success of the war in the Persian Gulf has not significantly altered voting intention for the Republican president. 31 per cent of respondents say Bush's actions in Iraq make them more likely to support him in the 2004 election.

A Republican presidential candidate has not won New York's 33 electoral votes since 1984, when Ronald Reagan carried every state except Minnesota, home state to then Democratic candidate Walter Mondale.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in an election pitting George W. Bush and the following prospective democratic nominees?

George W. Bush 50% - 38% Joe Lieberman
George W. Bush 50% - 38% John Kerry
George W. Bush 49% - 38% Dick Gephardt

Are you more likely to vote for George W. Bush in 2004 as a result of the war against Iraq?

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