Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Bush Would Win California In 2004

April 16, 2003

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(CPOD) Apr. 16, 2003 - George W. Bush would win the key state of California in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Field. 45 per cent of respondents say they would vote for the current Republican president, while 40 per cent would support the Democratic nominee.

In the 2000 election, Bush got 41.6 per cent of the vote in California, while vice-president Al Gore had 53.4 per cent. California accounts for 54 electoral votes, the highest number in the United States. Bush won the election but lost the popular vote to Gore.

Connecticut senator Joe Lieberman and Massachusetts senator John Kerry are the predominant candidates for Democrat supporters in California. Lieberman—Gore's running mate in 2000—is the choice for 22 per cent of respondents, while 16 per cent pick Kerry. 29 per cent of Democrats have not yet decided which prospective nominee they prefer.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the 2004 presidential election?

George W. Bush (R)

45%

Democratic Nominee

40%

Other Party / Don't know

15%


Who would you prefer as the 2004 Democratic nominee?

Joe Lieberman

22%

John Kerry

16%

Dick Gephardt

17%

Howard Dean

7%

Carol Moseley Braun

4%

Al Sharpton

4%

John Edwards

3%

Bob Graham

2%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

Undecided

29%


Source: Field
Methodology: Interviews to 695 California registered voters, conducted from Apr. 1 to Apr. 6, 2003. Margins of error are 3.8 per cent (overall sample) and 5.8 per cent (Democratic supporters).

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