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Track global public opinion on current issues.
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- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
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- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Bush Would Lose to Gore and Kerry Today
- Adults in the United States would vote differently in a rerun of the last two presidential elections, according to a poll by Scripps Howard News Service released by Ohio University. 46 per cent of respondents would support Democrat John Kerry in a repeat of the 2004 ballot, while 40 per cent would vote for Republican George W. Bush.
The survey asked Americans to ponder their options in every U.S. presidential election held since 1964. Democrat Al Gore would receive the support of 46 per cent of respondents in the 2000 rerun, while Bush would finish second with 38 per cent.
Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan remain extremely popular. The Democrat would receive 52 per cent and 56 per cent of the vote in the 1992 and 1996 races, while the Republican would win with 56 per cent and 64 per cent in the 1980 and 1984 presidential contests.
Democrat Jimmy Carter maintains a 17-point edge over Republican Gerald Ford in the 1976 race, while Republican George H. Bush keeps a 20-point lead over Democrat Michael Dukakis in the 1988 contest. Democrat Lyndon Johnson reaches 50 per cent in a rerun of the 1964 election.
Republican Richard Nixon barely defeats Democrat Hubert H. Humphrey in the 1968 race, and trails rival George McGovern in the 1972 contest.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
How Americans would vote in a rerun of previous presidential elections
1964 | |
Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | 50% |
Barry Goldwater (R) | 23% |
1968 | |
Richard Nixon (R) | 34% |
Hubert H. Humphrey (D) | 31% |
George Wallace (I) | 15% |
1972 | |
George McGovern (D) | 42% |
Richard Nixon (R) | 39% |
1976 | |
Jimmy Carter (D) | 52% |
Gerald Ford (R) | 35% |
1980 | |
Ronald Reagan (R) | 56% |
Jimmy Carter (D) | 30% |
John Anderson (I) | 6% |
1984 | |
Ronald Reagan (R) | 64% |
Walter Mondale (D) | 24% |
1988 | |
George H. Bush (R) | 53% |
Michael Dukakis (D) | 33% |
1992 | |
Bill Clinton (D) | 52% |
George H. Bush (R) | 30% |
Ross Perot (I) | 12% |
1996 | |
Bill Clinton (D) | 56% |
Bob Dole (R) | 25% |
Ross Perot (Ref.) | 12% |
2000 | |
Al Gore (D) | 46% |
George W. Bush (R) | 38% |
Ralph Nader (G) or | 9% |
2004 | |
John Kerry (D) | 46% |
George W. Bush (R) | 40% |
Ralph Nader (I) | 7% |
Source: Scripps Howard News Service / Ohio University
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,010 American adults, conducted from Jul. 6 to Jul. 24, 2006. Margin of error is 4 per cent.