Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Bush Would Defeat Kerry Again

March 03, 2005

(Angus Reid Consultants - CPOD Global Scan) - Many adults in the United States retain their political allegiances four months after the last presidential ballot, according to a poll by Zogby International. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican George W. Bush in a new election, while 42 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. On Nov. 2, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Seven per cent of respondents say they would vote for a third party candidate in a new election. Less than one per cent of all ballots cast in the last presidential election went to someone other than Bush or Kerry.

Bush is constitutionally ineligible for a third term in office. 29 per cent of respondents say they would vote for the current head of state once again if they could.

Polling Data

If the 2004 presidential election took place again, who would you vote for?

George W. Bush (R)

46%

John Kerry (D)

42%

A third party candidate

7%

If George W. Bush were eligible for a third term in office, how would you vote?

For Bush

29%

Someone new

58%

Source: Zogby International
Methodology: Interviews to 1,010 likely American voters, conducted from Feb. 25 to Feb. 27, 2005. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.

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