Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Bush Has Decisive Lead In Arizona

September 21, 2004

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(CPOD) Sept. 21, 2004 - George W. Bush could carry the state of Arizona in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to according to the MSNBC/Knight Ridder poll conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 39 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

In July, independent candidate Ralph Nader failed in his bid to be included in the Arizona ballot after his supporters were not able to collect the signatures of 14,696 registered voters in the state. Three per cent of respondents would vote for another ticket, while eight per cent remain undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Arizona's eight electoral votes went to Bush in the 2000 election. The Republican candidate beat Democrat Al Gore by six per cent. Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat to have carried the state since 1972.

Polling Data

If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for:

George W. Bush / Dick Cheney (R)

50%

John Kerry / John Edwards (D)

39%

Another ticket

3%

Undecided

8%

Source: Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. / MSNBC / Knight Ridder
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 625 likely Arizona voters, conducted on Sept. 13 and Sept. 14, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

Other poll highlights: Candidate name recognition, Bush's approval rating at 53 per cent, views on same-sex marriage, economy, Iraq, terrorism and discussions about Vietnam War.


Complete Poll (PDF)

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