Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Bush Expected To Win, But Support Higher For Father

July 04, 2003

(CPOD) Jul. 4, 2003 - Many Americans voters believe George W. Bush will remain in the White House, according to a poll by Princeton Survey Research Associates for the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. 66 per cent of respondents expect Bush to win the 2004 presidential election.

The numbers for the current president are 12 per cent lower than those of his father. In October 1991, a year before the 1992 presidential election, 78 per cent of respondents believed then-president George H. Bush would win. A campaign built on economic proposals led to a victory for Democratic nominee Bill Clinton.

Polling Data

Who do you think will win the next presidential election?

Jun. 2003

Oct. 1991

President Bush

66%

78%

Democratic candidate

22%

11%


Source: Princeton Survey Research Associates / Pew Research Center for the People and Press.
Methodology: Interviews to 1,000 adult Americans, conducted from Jun. 4 to Jun. 8, 2003. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.

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