Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Brown Would Defeat Two Tory Hopefuls in Britain

November 14, 2005

Credit:UN/DPI Photo

Gordon Brown

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown could lead the Labour party to victory in the next election to Britain's House of Commons, according to a poll by Populus published in The Times. At least 37 per cent of respondents would vote for a Brown-led Labour in two prospective scenarios.

In May, British voters renewed the lower house of Parliament. The governing Labour party secured 35.2 per cent of the vote and 356 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 32.2 per cent and 197 legislators, and the Liberal Democrats with 22 per cent and 62 lawmakers. Following the election, Tory leader Michael Howard vowed to stand down.

The process to select the new Conservative leader began last month. After two elimination ballots open only to Conservative MPs, the 39-year-old Cameron and the 56-year-old Davis are now the only candidates in contention. The new leader will be chosen in a postal ballot open to the 300,000 Conservative members in Britain. The results will be announced on Dec. 6.

The next election to the House of Commons must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion. A Brown-led Labour holds a two-point lead over the Cameron-led Tories, and a nine-point lead over the Davis-led Conservatives.

In October 2004, current prime minister and Labour leader Tony Blair announced that he would retire at the end of his third term.

Polling Data

If the choice at the next election is between Labour led by Gordon Brown, the Conservatives led by David Cameron and the Liberal Democrats led by Charles Kennedy, which party would you vote for?

If the choice at the next election is between Labour led by Gordon Brown, the Conservatives led by David Davis and the Liberal Democrats led by Charles Kennedy, which party would you vote for?

 

w/ Cameron

w/ Davis

Labour

37%

43%

Conservative

35%

32%

Liberal Democrats

20%

18%

Other

9%

7%

Source: Populus / The Times
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,512 British adults, conducted from Nov. 4 to Nov. 6, 2005. No margin of error was provided.

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