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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Brown Defeats Tories in Prospective UK Ballot
Credit:UN/DPI Photo
Gordon Brown
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The governing Labour party could win another election under current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown, according to a poll by Communicate Research published in The Independent. At least 44 per cent of respondents would vote for a Brown-led Labour in the next general election.
In May, British voters renewed the House of Commons. The governing Labour party secured 35.2 per cent of the vote and 356 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 32.2 per cent and 197 legislators, and the Liberal Democrats with 22 per cent and 62 lawmakers. Following the election, Tory leader Michael Howard vowed to stand down.
The process to select the new Conservative leader began this month. Conservative MPs will participate in weekly ballots with the lowest-ranked candidate dropping out of the race until two contenders are left. These two remaining candidates face off in a postal ballot open to all Conservative members.
Yesterday, shadow home secretary David Davis won the first Tory ballot with 62 votes, followed by education spokesman David Cameron with 56 votes, shadow foreign secretary Liam Fox with 42 votes, and former chancellor of the exchequer Kenneth Clarke—who was eliminated from contention—with 38 votes.
The next election must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion. A Brown-led Labour holds an 18-point lead over the Cameron-led Tories, and a 19-point lead over the Davis-led Conservatives.
From 1979 to 1997, the Conservative party administered the British government under prime ministers Margaret Thatcher and John Major. In this year's election, the Tories won 31 more seats than in the 2001 ballot.
Polling Data
If you had to choose between a Labour government led by Gordon Brown and a Conservative government led by David Cameron / David Davis, which would you vote for?
Cameron | Davis | |
Labour government led by Brown | 44% | 45% |
Conservative government led by ... | 26% | 26% |
Haven't heard of them | 4% | 4% |
Refused | 6% | 6% |
Don't know | 20% | 19% |
Source: Communicate Research / The Independent
Methodology: Interviews to 1,011 British adults, conducted on Oct. 12 and Oct. 13, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
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