February 05, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention polls conducted in the Yellowhammer State have not provided a clear frontrunner for either party in today’s United States presidential primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention polls conducted in the Yellowhammer State have not provided a clear frontrunner for either party in today’s United States presidential primary.

In the four surveys of Republican Party voters, Arizona senator John McCain sits in first place, but a poll by SurveyUSA placed former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee just two percentage points behind. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney reached 20 per cent in a study by Rasmussen Reports, while Texas congressman Ron Paul is in single digits.

In the five surveys of Democratic Party voters, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton and Illinois senator Barack Obama are separated by five points or less. Rodham Clinton leads in three of the polls, while Obama is ahead in one of them.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Alabama Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Alabama

	Huckabee	McCain	Paul	Romney
(4) Survey USA	35%	37%	6%	19%
(3) CRSC	28%	42%	4%	13%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	30%	38%	5%	20%
(1) Survey USA	31%	40%	5%	21%

(4) SurveyUSA (619 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Capital Survey Research Center (371 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 29-Feb. 1, 2008, 5.1 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (890 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (629 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Alabama

	Clinton	Obama
(5) Survey USA	47%	49%
(4) Insider Advantage	45%	44%
(3) CSRA	42%	40%
(2) Rasmussen Reports	46%	41%
(1) SurveyUSA	47%	47%

(5) SurveyUSA (638 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Insider Advantage (408 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 3, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(3) Capital Survey Research Center (371 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 29-Feb. 1, 2008, 5.1 MofE)
(2) Rasmussen Reports (576 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (586 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31, 2008, 4.1 MofE)