Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Abbas Set To Win Palestinian Authority Ballot

December 29, 2004

(Angus Reid - CPOD Global Scan) - Former prime minister Mahmoud Abbas of the Fatah faction remains the top contender in the Palestinian Authority's presidential election, according to a poll by the Jerusalem Media and Communication Centre. 42.5 per cent of respondents would vote for Abbas in the election.

Marwan Barghouti—who was convicted in an Israeli court and sentenced to five life terms in prison for his alleged involvement in deadly attacks by the Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades—was originally registered as a candidate, but withdrew from the race on Dec. 12.

Barghouti's distant cousin Mustafa—the leader of the Palestinian National Initiative—is second with 14.6 per cent, followed by Bassam Salhi of the formerly communist People's Party and Tayssir Khaled of the socialist Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine. More than 22 per cent of respondents say they will not vote, and 13.6 per cent remain undecided.

The election was scheduled for Jan. 9, 2005 after the death of Yasser Arafat on Nov. 11. Former parliamentary speaker Rawhi Fattuh is the Palestinian Authority's interim president.

On Dec. 15, Abbas said he is personally "against the militarization of the intifada because we want to negotiate. The atmosphere should be calm in preparation for political action." Radical groups Hamas and Islamic Jihad rejected the proposal.

Polling Data

So far, there are seven candidates for the Palestinian Authority's president's post, who will you vote for?

Mahmoud Abbas

42.5%

Mustafa Barghouthi

14.6%

Bassam Salhi

2.6%

Tayssir Khaled

1.8%

Alsaied Barakh

0.9%

Abdel Halim al-Ashqar

0.7%

Abdel Karim Shbier

0.5%

Will not vote

22.8%

Undecided

13.6%

Source: Jerusalem Media and Communication Centre
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews to 1,199 Palestinian adults in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, conducted from Dec. 18 to Dec. 20, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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