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Flores Nano First, Tie for Second in Peru

August 17, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Lourdes Flores Nano is the leading presidential candidate in Peru, according to a poll by Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado. 22 per cent of respondents in Metropolitan Lima would support the Popular Christian Party (PPC) member in next year's election.

Former president Alberto Fujimori—who is currently living in Japan—has expressed interest in becoming a candidate once again. Fujimori administered the government from 1990 to 2000, but cannot seek office until 2010 because of a congressional decision. Current Lima mayor Luis Castañeda has ruled out a presidential bid.

Former head of state Valentín Paniagua of Popular Action (AP) and former president Alan García of the American Revolutionary People's Alliance (APRA) are tied for second place with 18 per cent, followed by Ollanta Humala of the Etnocacerista Movement (ME) with seven per cent, and Alberto Andrade of We Are Peru (SP) with six per cent.

Support is lower for Jaime Salinas of National Justice (JN), David Waisman of Possible Peru (PP), Callao mayor Alex Kouri, Yehude Simons of the Humanist Movement (MH), Fujimori loyalist Luis Delgado Aparicio, and Fernando Olivera of the Independent Moralizing Front (FIM).

In two prospective run-off scenarios, García trails Flores Nano by 24 points per cent, and Paniagua by 28 points.

The next general election is scheduled for Apr. 6, 2006. Current head of state Alejandro Toledo cannot seek a consecutive term in office.

Polling Data

Who would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?

Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC)

22%

Valentín Paniagua (AP)

18%

Alan García (APRA)

18%

Ollanta Humala (ME)

7%

Alberto Andrade (SP)

6%

Jaime Salinas (JN)

3%

David Waisman (PP)

3%

Alex Kouri

3%

Yehude Simons (MH)

2%

Luis Delgado Aparicio

2%

Fernando Olivera (FIM)

1%

Run-Off Scenarios

Lourdes Flores Nano (PPC) 51% - 27% Alan García (APRA)
Valentín Paniagua (AP) 54% - 26% Alan García (APRA)

Source: Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado
Methodology: Interviews to 323 Peruvian adults in Metropolitan Lima, conducted on Aug. 13, 2005. Margin of error is 5.7 per cent.