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PSOE Inches Closer to Majority in Spain

July 12, 2005

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The governing Socialist Worker's Party (PSOE) remains the favourite political organization for Spaniards, according to a poll by Instituto Noxa published in La Vanguardia. 45.8 per cent of respondents would vote for the PSOE in the next general election, while 36.4 per cent would support the conservative Popular Party (PP).

The PSOE's José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero was sworn in as president of the government in April 2004, following his party's victory in the legislative ballot. The PP had administered the government under José María Aznar since 1996.

The coalition of United Left (IU) and Initiative for Catalonia-Greens (IC-V) is third with 5.6 per cent, followed by three regional parties: Catalonia's Convergence and Union (CiU) with three per cent, the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) with 1.6 per cent, and the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) with 1.5 per cent.

The poll's results suggest the PSOE could secure anywhere from 172 to 176 seats in the 350-member Congress of Deputies. In the March 2004 election, the Socialists elected 164 lawmakers.

On Jul. 8, Zapatero ordered "the maximum level of alert and prevention" throughout Spain following the terrorist bombings in London. The Spanish president said his country "has suffered for decades the damaging effect of terrorism, so we know well how the British people are suffering at this time."

Polling Data

What party would you support in the next general election?

 

Vote%

Seats

Socialist Worker's Party (PSOE)

45.8%

172-176

Popular Party (PP)

36.4%

136-142

United Left (IU) /
Initiative for Catalonia-Greens (IC-V)

5.6%

7-8

Convergence and Union (CiU)

3.0%

10

Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC)

1.6%

5-6

Basque Nationalist Party (PNV)

1.5%

6

Source: Instituto Noxa / La Vanguardia
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,000 Spanish adults, conducted from Jul. 4 to Jul. 7, 2005. Margin of error is 3.16 per cent.