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Lula Would Defeat Challengers Next Year
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva could earn a new term as president, according to a poll by Ibope. At least 39 per cent of respondents would vote for the current president in three potential scenarios.
Lula—a three-time presidential candidate for the Worker's Party (PT)—won the October 2002 election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Jose Serra of the Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB). In the first round, Lula received 47 per cent of the vote, while Serra garnered 24 per cent.
In the first list of possible contenders, 39 per cent of respondents chose Lula, 27 per cent selected Serra and eight per cent picked Cesar Maia of the Party of the Liberal Front (PFL). In a second list, Lula led prospective PSDB candidate Geraldo Ackim, Maia and Anthony Garotinho of the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB) by 30 per cent. In a third list, Maia finished in second place, 30 points behind the current president, followed by Garotinho and the PSDB's Aecio Neves.
The next presidential election is tentatively scheduled for October 2006.
Polling Data
An election for president will take place in 2006. If the election took place today, and the candidates were these, who could you vote for?
(Option 1)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) | 39% |
Jose Serra (PSDB) | 27% |
Cesar Maia (PFL) | 8% |
Anthony Garotinho (PMDB) | 7% |
An election for president will take place in 2006. If the election took place today, and the candidates were these, who could you vote for?
(Option 2)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) | 42% |
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) | 12% |
Cesar Maia (PFL) | 12% |
Anthony Garotinho (PMDB) | 12% |
An election for president will take place in 2006. If the election took place today, and the candidates were these, who could you vote for?
(Option 3)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) | 43% |
Cesar Maia (PFL) | 13% |
Anthony Garotinho (PMDB) | 12% |
Aecio Neves (PSDB) | 7% |
Source: Ibope
Methodology: Interviews to 2,000 Brazilian adults, conducted from Mar. 10 to Mar. 14, 2005. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.