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Lula Defeating Rivals In Brazil
(Angus Reid Consultants - CPOD Global Scan) - Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva could earn a second term in Brazil, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. At least 52 per cent of respondents would vote for the current president in potential second round contests against five prospective rivals.
Lula—a three-time presidential candidate for the Worker's Party (PT)—won the October 2002 election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Jose Serra of the Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB). In the first round, Lula received 47 per cent of the vote, while Serra garnered 24 per cent.
When paired against five contenders from the PSDB, Lula holds double-digit leads. The prospective candidates are 2002 nominee Serra, former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Sao Paulo governor Geraldo Alckmin, lawmaker Aecio Neves and senator Tasso Jereissati.
The next election is tentatively scheduled for October 2006.
Polling Data
What candidate would you vote for if the second round of next year's presidential election pitted Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva against these rivals?
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) 52.0% - 29.9% Jose Serra (PSDB)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) 56.8% - 22.9% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) 57.2% - 21.4% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) 57.4% - 20.0% Aecio Neves (PSDB)
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) 59.5% - 20.0% Tasso Jereissati (PSDB)
Source: Instituto Sensus
Methodology: Interviews to 2,000 Brazilian adults, conducted from Feb. 15 to Feb. 17, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.