Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Battleground Ohio: Bush 49%, Kerry 47%

November 02, 2004

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(CPOD) Nov. 2, 2004 - George W. Bush holds the lead in Ohio, according to a review of the latest four voting intention polls in the state. An average of 49 per cent of respondents would support the Republican incumbent in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 47 per cent would back Democratic nominee John Kerry.

Bush held leads in polls conducted by Opinion Dynamics for Fox News, the Institute of Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati, Strategic Vision and SurveyUSA. The election takes place today.

Bush carried Ohio's 21 electoral votes in 2000, with 50 per cent of the vote. The state has supported the eventual president in every election since 1964.

Polling Data

Voting intention for president

 

Fox
News

Univ.
Cinci.

St. Vis.

Survey
USA

Average

George W. Bush (R)

50%

50.1%

47%

49%

49%

John Kerry (D)

47%

49.2%

45%

47%

47%

Undecided

3%

0.7%

7%

2%

3.1%

Methodology and Sources:
Opinion Dynamics / Fox News (700 likely voters, Oct. 30-31, 3.7 per cent MofE)
Institute of Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati (1,877 likely voters, with undecideds allocated to candidate they are most likely to support, Oct. 27-31, 3.3 per cent MofE)
Strategic Vision (801 likely voters, Oct. 29-31, 3 per cent MofE)
SurveyUSA (816 likely voters, Oct. 29-31, 3 per cent MofE)

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