Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Drop For Kerry, Still First In California

October 06, 2004

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Abstract: (CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - John Kerry remains the top candidate in California, according to a poll by the Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush.

(CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - John Kerry remains the top candidate in California, according to a poll by the Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush.

Independent candidate Ralph Nader will not be listed in the California ballot. Ten per cent of respondents would either vote for other contenders or are undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for Kerry dropped by two per cent since July, while backing for Bush increased by three per cent.

Democrat Al Gore won California's 54 electoral votes in the 2000 presidential election, with 54 per cent of the vote. The last Republican to carry the state was George H. Bush in 1988.

Polling Data

What candidate would you vote for in the 2004 U.S. presidential election?

 

Oct. 2004

Jul. 2004

John Kerry (D)

48%

50%

George W. Bush (R)

42%

39%

Other / Undecided

10%

11%

Source: Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University
Methodology: Interviews to 600 likely California voters, conducted from Sept. 27 to Oct. 1, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.