October 06, 2004

Abstract: (CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - George W. Bush holds the lead in the state of New Hampshire, according to a poll by the University of New Hampshire released by WMUR. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 45 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

(CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - George W. Bush holds the lead in the state of New Hampshire, according to a poll by the University of New Hampshire released by WMUR. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 45 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

One per cent of respondents would vote for other candidates, while four per cent remain undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for Bush increased by seven per cent since July, while backing for Kerry dropped by two per cent. In April, the Democrat held a four per cent lead over the Republican.

New Hampshire's four electoral votes went to Bush in 2000, who defeated Democrat Al Gore by just over 7,000 ballots. The state has backed the eventual president in every election since 1980.

Polling Data

Now, suppose the 2004 presidential election was being held today. If you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, or Ralph Nader, the Independent, who would you vote for?

	Oct. 2004	Jul. 2004	Apr. 2004
George W. Bush (R)	50%	43%	45%
John Kerry (D)	45%	47%	49%
Ralph Nader (I)	--	4%	--
Other	1%	--	--
Undecided	4%	6%	6%

Source: University of New Hampshire / WMUR
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 521 likely New Hampshire voters, conducted from Sept. 27 to Oct. 3, 2004. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.