October 06, 2004

Abstract: (CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - George W. Bush and Dick Cheney could carry the state of Iowa in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbents, while 44 per cent would support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards.

(CPOD) Oct. 6, 2004 - George W. Bush and Dick Cheney could carry the state of Iowa in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbents, while 44 per cent would support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards.

Independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo garner the support of two per cent of respondents, while five per cent are undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for the Republicans increased by one per cent since mid-September, while backing for the Democrats dropped by two per cent. A month ago, both tickets were tied.

Democrat Al Gore won Iowa's seven electoral votes in the 2000 election, defeating Bush by just over 4,000 ballots. The last Republican to carry the state was Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Polling Data

If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents?

	Sept. 27-29	Sept. 13-15	Aug. 26-28
Bush / Cheney (R)	49%	48%	47%
Kerry / Edwards (D)	44%	46%	47%
Nader / Camejo (I)	2%	2%	2%
Undecided	5%	4%	4%

Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 801 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 27 to Sept. 29, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Note: Strategic Vision frequently works for Republican candidates, but conducted the presidential poll independently.