October 04, 2004

Abstract: (CPOD) Oct. 4, 2004 - John Kerry and John Edwards could carry the state of Michigan in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic ticket, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

(CPOD) Oct. 4, 2004 - John Kerry and John Edwards could carry the state of Michigan in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic ticket, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

Independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo garner the support of one per cent of respondents, while nine per cent are undecided. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for both the Democrats and the Republicans increased by one per cent since mid-September. Four weeks ago, the Kerry/Edwards ticket held a three per cent advantage over the Bush/Cheney pairing.

Democrat Al Gore won the state's 18 electoral votes in 2000, with 51 per cent of the vote. The last Republican to carry Michigan was George H. Bush in 1988.

Polling Data

If the 2004 presidential election were held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents?

	Sept. 26-28	Sept. 12-14	Aug. 26-28
Kerry / Edwards (D)	48%	47%	45%
Bush / Cheney (R)	42%	41%	42%
Nader / Camejo (I)	1%	2%	3%
Undecided	9%	10%	10%

Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 801 likely Michigan voters, conducted from Sept. 26 to Sept. 28, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Note: Strategic Vision frequently works for Republican candidates, but conducted the presidential poll independently.