September 30, 2004

Abstract: (CPOD) Sept. 30, 2004 - George W. Bush could carry the state of Arizona in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University and KAET-TV. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 38 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

(CPOD) Sept. 30, 2004 - George W. Bush could carry the state of Arizona in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University and KAET-TV. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 38 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry.

One per cent of respondents would vote for Michael Badnarik of the Libertarian Party, while 12 per cent are undecided or offered no opinion. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Support for Bush increased by two per cent since August, while backing for Kerry dropped by one per cent. In July, the Democrat held a one per cent lead over the Republican in the Grand Canyon State.

Arizona's eight electoral votes went to Bush in the 2000 election. The Republican candidate beat Democrat Al Gore by six per cent. Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat to have carried the state since 1972. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.

Polling Data

What candidate would you vote for in the 2004 U.S. presidential election?

	Sept. 2004	Aug. 2004	Jul. 2004
George W. Bush (R)	49%	47%	41%
John Kerry (D)	38%	39%	42%
Michael Badnarik (L)	1%	--	--
Undecided / No opinion	12%	14%	17%

Source: Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University / KAET-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 553 registered Arizona voters, conducted from Sept. 23 to Sept. 26, 2004. Margin of error is 4.9 per cent.