Polls & Research
Archive Search
PRI Has Five-Point Lead in Mexico
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Mexico’s Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) heads to this Sunday’s mid-term ballot as the favourite, according to a poll by Consulta Mitofsky. 37.4 per cent of respondents would back the PRI in the Chamber of Deputies election.
The governing National Action Party (PAN) is second with 32.2 per cent, followed by the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) with 14.7 per cent.
The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 presidential election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Mexican voters chose their new president in July 2006. Official results placed Felipe Calderón of the PAN as the winner with 36.68 per cent of all cast ballots, followed by Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the PRD with 36.11 per cent, and Roberto Madrazo of the PRI with 22.71 per cent. Calderón—a former energy secretary—took over as Mexico’s head of state in December.
In the July 2006 legislative election, the PAN secured 206 seats in the 500-member Chamber of Deputies, followed by a PRD-led alliance with 160 lawmakers, and a coalition of the PRI and the Green Environmentalist Party (PVEM) with 121 mandates.
On Jul. 1, PRI leader Beatriz Paredes predicted a victory, declaring, "We are going to win because we have a strong party, very well organized, and with viable proposals. The PRI, with its structures and members, is unstoppable."
The legislative mid-term election is scheduled for Jul. 5.
Polling Data
Which party would you vote for in the next election to the Chamber of Deputies? (Decided Voters)
|
Jun. 2009 |
May 2009 |
Apr. 2009 |
|
|
Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) |
37.4% |
37.1% |
40.1% |
|
National Action Party (PAN) |
32.2% |
33.0% |
33.5% |
|
Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) |
14.7% |
16.5% |
18.9% |
|
Other parties |
15.7% |
13.4% |
7.5% |
Source: Consulta Mitofsky
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 Mexican adults, conducted from Jun. 23 to Jun. 25, 2009. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.