Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Swedish Opposition Keeps Comfortable Lead

October 15, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Sweden’s centre-left parties are the group of choice for most voters, according to a poll by Demoskop published in Expressen. 54 per cent of respondents would support the Workers’ Party - Social-Democrats (S), the Environmental Party - The Greens (MP), or the Left Party (Vp) in the next general election, down 2.2 points since July.

The governing centre-right alliance of the Moderate Rally Party (M), the People’s Party Liberals (FpL), the Centre Party (C), and the Christian-Democrats (KD) is behind with 41 per cent. The far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) have the support of 4.5 per cent of respondents—above the threshold to secure seats in the legislature.

Swedish voters renewed the Diet in September 2006. The centre-right alliance secured 178 seats, ending the ten-year tenure of Social-Democrat prime minister Goran Persson. Moderate leader Fredrik Reinfeldt became prime minister in October 2006. In January 2007, former sustainable development minister Mona Sahlin took over as the new leader of the Social-Democrats.

On Oct. 8, Sahlin said that the Social Democrats would invite the Greens to an eventual government but not the Left Party. Leaders of the three parties had held meetings before in order to seek common ground on certain issues. The Left Party was left out of an eventual coalition government over disagreements on how to handle the budget. Sahlin made the announcement saying, "This is a new phase in Swedish politics."

Polling Data

What party would you support in the next general election?

 

Sept. 2008

Jul. 2008

May 2008

Opposition Parties (Centre-Left)

54.0%

56.2%

56.8%

Workers’ Party - Social-Democrats (S)

44.9%

43.5%

44.1%

Environmental Party - The Greens (MP)

4.8%

6.9%

6.8%

Left Party (Vp)

4.3%

5.8%

5.9%

Governing Alliance (Centre-Right)

41.0%

39.2%

38.0%

Moderate Rally Party (M)

28.4%

24.4%

21.9%

People’s Party Liberals (FpL)

4.9%

6.3%

6.3%

Centre Party (C)

4.5%

5.4%

6.0%

Christian-Democrats (KD)

3.2%

3.1%

3.8%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

4.5%

2.6%

4.2%

Source: Demoskop / Expressen
Methodology: Interviews with 1,000 Swede voters, conducted in October 2008. No margin of error was provided.

 

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