(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The Estonian Reform Party (ER) has a strong lead over all its rivals, according to a poll by TNS Emor. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for the governing party in the next legislative election, down two points since August.

The Estonian Centre Party (KESK) is second with 26 per cent, followed by the Union of Fatherland and Res Publica (IRPL) with 15 per cent, the Social Democratic Party (SDE) with 12 per cent, the Estonian Greens (EER) with seven per cent, and the Estonian People’s Union (ERL) with five per cent.

In March 2007, a legislative election took place in Estonia. Final results placed the ER in first place with 27.8 per cent of the vote, followed by the KESK with 26.1 per cent, and the IRPL with 17.9 per cent. In early April, the ER, the IRPL and the SDE agreed to form a government. ER leader Andrus Ansip retained his post as prime minister.

On Sept. 25, the government delivered a budget with what it called "a small gap" between revenues and spending, but still described it as a "balanced budget". Some Estonian newspapers criticized the presentation of the plan as balanced, with one writing on its headline: "The government has still made a negative budget."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the next parliamentary election?

Source: TNS Emor
Methodology: Interviews with 1,010 Estonian adults, conducted in September 2008. No margin of error was provided.

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