Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Support for Civic Platform Soars in Poland

October 03, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The governing Civic Platform (PO) has gained momentum in Poland, according to a poll by PBS DGA published in Gazeta Wyborcza. 58 per cent of respondents would vote for the conservative PO in the next general election, up 10 points since July.

The opposition Law and Justice Party (PiS) is behind with 24 per cent—down four points in two months—followed by the Left and Democracy (LiD) with six per cent, and the Peasant’s Party (PSL) with four per cent.

In October 2007, Polish voters renewed the Diet, or lower house of Parliament. Final results gave the PO 41.51 per cent of the vote and 209 seats, followed by the PiS with 32.11 per cent and 166 seats. In November, the PO and the PSL—who together hold 240 seats in the 460-member Diet—agreed to form a coalition government. PO leader Donald Tusk was sworn in as prime minister.

On Sept. 29, finance minister Jacek Rostowski said Poland must amend its constitution in order to join the pre-euro exchange rate mechanism (ERM2), and then adopt the euro by 2014, declaring, "It would be very inadvisable of Poland joined the ERM2 and then found itself in the situation where the Constitution could not be changed. (...) If changes in the Constitution were blocked, euro adoption plans will have to be delayed."

Poland has been a member of the European Union (EU) since 2004.

Polling Data

What party would you support in the next election?

 

Sept. 2008

Jul. 2008

Jun. 2008

Civic Platform (PO)

58%

48%

52%

Law and Justice Party (PiS)

24%

28%

27%

Left and Democracy (LiD)

6%

9%

6%

Peasant’s Party (PSL)

4%

6%

6%

Source: PBS DGA / Gazeta Wyborcza
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,052 Polish adults, conducted from Sept. 19 to Sept. 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

 

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