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North Dakota: McCain 47%, Obama 46%

November 02, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama are virtually tied in North Dakota, according to a poll by Research 2000. 47 per cent of respondents in the Peace Garden State would vote for the Arizona senator in this month’s United States presidential election, while 46 per cent would support the Illinois senator.

Seven per cent of respondents are undecided, or would vote for other candidates.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush won North Dakota’s three electoral votes, with 63 per cent of all cast ballots. No Democrat has carried the Peace Garden State since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

North Dakota - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Contenders: John McCain (R), Barack Obama (D)

 

McCain (R)

Obama (D)

Other / Not sure

Date

(9) Research 2000 47% 46% 7% Oct. 28-29
(8) Research 2000 45% 45% 10% Oct. 14-15
(7) DFM Research 41% 44% 15% Oct. 13-14
(6) Forum 43% 45% 12% Oct. 6-8
(5) Research 2000 53% 40% 7% Sept. 16-17
(4) Rasmussen Reports 55% 41% 4% Sept. 8
(3) DFM Research 40% 43% 17% Aug. 23-27
(2) Research 2000 45% 42% 13% Jul. 21-23

(1) Rasmussen Reports

43%

43%

14%

Jul. 8

(9) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 500 likely North Dakota voters conducted on Oct. 28 and Oct. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(8) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 600 likely North Dakota voters conducted on Oct. 14 and Oct. 15, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cen.
(7) DFM Research - Telephone interviews with 504 likely North Dakota voters, conducted on Oct. 13 and Oct. 14, 2008. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.

(6) Forum - Telephone interviews with 606 likely voters in North Dakota, conducted from Oct. 6 to Oct. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
(5) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Dakota, conducted on Sept. 16 and Sept. 17, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(4) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Dakota, conducted on Sept. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

(3) DFM Research - Telephone interviews with 400 North Dakotans conducted from Aug. 23 to Aug. 27, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
(2) Research 2000 - Telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in North Dakota, conducted from Jul. 21 to Jul. 23, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
(1) Rasmussen Reports - Telephone interviews with 500 likely voters in North Dakota, conducted on Jul. 8, 2008. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.