June 30, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is leading Republican John McCain in the United States presidential race, according to a poll by ABT SRBI released by Time. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator this year, while 43 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama is leading Republican John McCain in the United States presidential race, according to a poll by ABT SRBI released by Time. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator this year, while 43 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

Support for Obama fell by one point since February, while backing for McCain increased by two points.

On Jun. 28, McCain discussed his views on immigration, saying, "We must prove to [Americans] that we can and will secure our borders first, while respecting the dignity and rights of citizens and legal residents of the United States. (...) We have economic and humanitarian responsibilities as well, and they require no less dedication from us in meeting them."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

If the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote? (Leaners included)

	Jun. 2008	Feb. 2008	Apr. 2007
Barack Obama (D)	47%	48%	47%
John McCain (R)	43%	41%	42%
Other / Undecided	10%	11%	11%

Source: ABT SRBI / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 805 registered American voters, conducted from Jun. 19 to Jun. 25, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.