May 15, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain could carry the Lone Star State in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Research 2000. At least 52 per cent of respondents in Texas would vote for the Arizona senator in head-to-head contests against two prospective Democratic rivals.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain could carry the Lone Star State in the 2008 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Research 2000. At least 52 per cent of respondents in Texas would vote for the Arizona senator in head-to-head contests against two prospective Democratic rivals.

McCain holds a 15-point lead over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, and a 13-point advantage over Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush—a former governor of Texas—carried the state’s 34 electoral votes, with 61 per cent of the vote. No Democrat has won the Lone Star State since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Texas - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

John McCain (R) 53% - 38% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 52% - 39% Barack Obama (D)

Source: Research 2000
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 600 likely Texas voters, conducted from May 5 to May 7, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.