May 06, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Barack Obama is the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the Tar Heel State, according to a review of the last eight publicly released voting intention surveys. 53.9 per cent of decided voters in North Carolina would back the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential primary, while 46.1 per cent would support New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Barack Obama is the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the Tar Heel State, according to a review of the last eight publicly released voting intention surveys. 53.9 per cent of decided voters in North Carolina would back the Illinois senator in today’s United States presidential primary, while 46.1 per cent would support New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Obama is ahead by at least five points in the eight North Carolina polls.

Obama has so far secured the support of 1,745 pledged delegates and super-delegates, followed by Rodham Clinton with 1,602. Candidates require the backing of at least 2,025 delegates to earn the nomination.

The Democratic National Convention will take place from Aug. 25 to Aug. 28 in Denver, Colorado. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - North Carolina Primary

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

	Clinton	Obama
ARGM Poll of Polls	46.1%	53.9%
(8) Insider Advantage	45%	48%
(7) Zogby International	40%	48%
(6) Public Policy Polling	43%	53%
(5) American Research Group	42%	50%
(4) Rasmussen Reports	40%	49%
(3) Research 2000	44%	51%
(2) Mason-Dixon	42%	49%
(1) SurveyUSA	44%	49%

(8) Insider Advantage (781 likely Democratic primary voters, May 4, 2008, 3.0 MofE)
(7) Zogby International (624 likely Democratic primary voters, May 3-4, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(6) Public Policy Polling (870 likely Democratic primary voters, May 3-4, 2008, 3.3 MofE)
(5) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, May 2-4, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Rasmussen Reports (831 likely Democratic primary voters, May 1, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Research 2000 (500 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 29-30, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 28-30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) SurveyUSA (727 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 26-28, 2008, 3.7 MofE)