May 06, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton heads to today’s United States presidential primary in Indiana as the favourite, according to a review of the last seven publicly released voting intention surveys. 53.3 per cent of decided voters in the Hoosier State would back the New York senator, while 46.7 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton heads to today’s United States presidential primary in Indiana as the favourite, according to a review of the last seven publicly released voting intention surveys. 53.3 per cent of decided voters in the Hoosier State would back the New York senator, while 46.7 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

Rodham Clinton is ahead by at least five points in six of the seven Indiana polls, while Obama has a two-point edge in a survey by Zogby International.

Obama has so far secured the support of 1,745 pledged delegates and super-delegates, followed by Rodham Clinton with 1,602. Candidates require the backing of at least 2,025 delegates to earn the nomination.

The Democratic National Convention will take place from Aug. 25 to Aug. 28 in Denver, Colorado. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Indiana Primary

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

	Clinton	Obama
ARGM Poll of Polls	53.3%	46.7%
(7) SurveyUSA	54%	42%
(6) Suffolk University	49%	43%
(5) Zogby International	42%	44%
(4) Insider Advantage	47%	40%
(3) American Research Group	53%	45%
(2) Downs Center	52%	45%
(1) Rasmussen Reports	46%	41%

(7) SurveyUSA (675 likely Democratic primary voters, May 2-4, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(6) Suffolk University (600 likely Democratic primary voters, May 3-4, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(5) Zogby International (636 likely Democratic primary voters, May 3-4, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Insider Advantage (478 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 30-May 1, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(3) American Research Group (600 likely Democratic primary voters, May 2-4, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(2) Downs Center (689 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 28-30, 2008, 3.8 MofE)
(1) Rasmussen Reports (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Apr. 29, 2008, 5.0 MofE)