May 04, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is ahead of Republican John McCain in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 49 per cent of respondents in Florida would back the New York senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 41 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is ahead of Republican John McCain in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 49 per cent of respondents in Florida would back the New York senator in this year’s United States presidential election, while 41 per cent would vote for the Arizona senator.

In a separate contest, McCain is virtually tied with Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Florida’s 27 electoral votes, with 52 per cent of all cast ballots. In 2000, weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Since 1972, the only Democrats to win the Sunshine State in a presidential election are Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Florida - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

John McCain (R) 41% - 49% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 44% - 43% Barack Obama (D)

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,411 registered voters in Florida, conducted from Apr. 23 to Apr. 29, 2008. Margin of error is 2.6 per cent.