Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

New Jersey Could Stay Blue in 2008

May 04, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Two Democratic Party members lead Republican John McCain in the Garden State, according to a poll by Monmouth University. 52 per cent of respondents in New Jersey would vote for New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in this year’s United States presidential election, while 32 percent would back the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Two Democratic Party members lead Republican John McCain in the Garden State, according to a poll by Monmouth University. 52 per cent of respondents in New Jersey would vote for New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in this year’s United States presidential election, while 32 percent would back the Arizona senator.

In a separate contest, Illinois senator Barack Obama holds a 24-point lead over McCain.

In 2004, Democratic nominee John Kerry carried New Jersey’s 15 electoral votes, with 53 per cent of the vote. No Republican has won the Garden State since George H. Bush in 1988.

U.S. president George W. Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

New Jersey - 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

John McCain (R) 32% - 56% Barack Obama (D)
John McCain (R) 38% - 52% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Source: Monmouth University
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 720 registered voters in New Jersey, conducted from Apr. 24 to Apr. 28, 2008. Margin of error is 3.7 per cent.